NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM IONA
Points 72.0 71.3
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 29.1
Points From Free Throws 15.3 11.9
Shooting MONM IONA
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 60.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 15.3 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 17.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.3%
Ball Control MONM IONA
Rebounds 37.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.4
Turnovers 11.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.6
Steals 5.4 6.7
Fouls 13.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM IONA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 71.2
% of Possessions with MONM IONA
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 33.3%
Player Fouled 22.8% 19.4%
Turnover 17.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM IONA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 29.6%