NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK
Points 57.0 82.3
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 30.5
Points From Free Throws 6.2 13.6
Shooting OAK
Field Goals Made 21.4 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 59.9
Field Goal % 38.5% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 41.6%
Free Throws Made 6.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 10.2 17.9
Free Throw % 60.7% 76.4%
Ball Control OAK
Rebounds 28.9 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.4
Turnovers 13.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 4.5 7.3
Fouls 13.6 11.5

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 70.9
% of Possessions with OAK
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 16.8% 19.9%
Turnover 19.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 34.6%