NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES STJOE
Points 56.8 80.9
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 30.1
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.6
Shooting UMES STJOE
Field Goals Made 20.3 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 58.1
Field Goal % 34.6% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 25.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 20.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 71.9%
Ball Control UMES STJOE
Rebounds 31.9 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.1
Turnovers 12.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.6
Steals 6.1 7.3
Fouls 15.3 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES STJOE
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.0
% of Possessions with UMES STJOE
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 35.2%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.8%
Turnover 17.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES STJOE
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 33.5%