NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN
Points 44.6 91.8
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 23.4 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 28.8
Points From Free Throws 6.3 15.0
Shooting CONN
Field Goals Made 16.7 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 58.1
Field Goal % 31.0% 57.8%
2 Pointers Made 11.7 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 34.2% 68.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 25.4% 41.6%
Free Throws Made 6.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 10.4 20.0
Free Throw % 60.7% 75.1%
Ball Control CONN
Rebounds 21.4 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 15.2 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 12.2
Turnovers 13.0 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.6
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 14.3 11.9

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 59.4 70.6
% of Possessions with CONN
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 21.6%
Turnover 19.6% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 44.4%