NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM KU
Points 64.1 80.9
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 45.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.9
Shooting MONM KU
Field Goals Made 21.9 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 57.9
Field Goal % 36.1% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.0% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 20.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.4%
Ball Control MONM KU
Rebounds 31.6 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.9
Turnovers 9.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.7
Steals 5.9 5.9
Fouls 14.6 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM KU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 70.9
% of Possessions with MONM KU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 23.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 20.7%
Turnover 14.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM KU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 31.2%