NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES LONG
Points 61.2 74.3
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 16.9
Shooting UMES LONG
Field Goals Made 21.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 56.0
Field Goal % 40.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 12.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 24.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 68.6%
Ball Control UMES LONG
Rebounds 28.3 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 14.0
Turnovers 13.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.5
Steals 6.2 7.0
Fouls 17.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES LONG
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 72.2
% of Possessions with UMES LONG
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 20.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.6%
Turnover 19.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES LONG
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 40.3%