NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM NIAG
Points 73.9 70.1
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.8 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 21.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.8
Shooting MONM NIAG
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 74.1%
Ball Control MONM NIAG
Rebounds 33.4 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.0
Turnovers 8.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 6.9 4.4
Fouls 16.0 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM NIAG
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 65.4
% of Possessions with MONM NIAG
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.2%
Turnover 12.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 24.9%