NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES OKLA
Points 55.1 81.1
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 18.9
Shooting UMES OKLA
Field Goals Made 19.6 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 53.8
Field Goal % 34.7% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 24.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 11.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 25.8
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.5%
Ball Control UMES OKLA
Rebounds 27.2 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.9
Turnovers 11.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.7
Steals 6.2 5.8
Fouls 17.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES OKLA
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.1
% of Possessions with UMES OKLA
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 27.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 25.3%
Turnover 16.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES OKLA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 35.9%