NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES NORF
Points 59.3 72.3
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 16.6
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.2
Shooting UMES NORF
Field Goals Made 18.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 54.4
Field Goal % 36.8% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.0
Free Throw % 71.8% 71.8%
Ball Control UMES NORF
Rebounds 32.0 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.0
Turnovers 13.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 5.2 7.9
Fouls 16.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES NORF
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 69.5
% of Possessions with UMES NORF
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 21.7%
Player Fouled 23.2% 24.0%
Turnover 20.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES NORF
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 32.8%