NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM KSU
Points 65.9 75.7
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 25.0
Points From Free Throws 15.1 18.1
Shooting MONM KSU
Field Goals Made 22.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 54.7
Field Goal % 36.0% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 25.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.9%
Ball Control MONM KSU
Rebounds 34.2 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.4
Turnovers 9.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.6
Steals 7.5 4.6
Fouls 16.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM KSU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 70.6
% of Possessions with MONM KSU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.8%
Turnover 12.9% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM KSU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 36.7%