NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH
Points 61.5 76.5
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 28.8
Points From Free Throws 6.5 12.6
Shooting UNH
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 58.8
Field Goal % 42.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 6.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 16.5
Free Throw % 60.7% 76.0%
Ball Control UNH
Rebounds 32.1 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.2
Turnovers 14.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.7
Steals 6.5 7.3
Fouls 13.8 11.4

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 68.4
% of Possessions with UNH
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 31.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 19.4%
Turnover 19.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 24.7%