NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STJOE VILL
Points 68.9 71.1
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 29.8
Points From Free Throws 9.2 12.1
Shooting STJOE VILL
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.1
Field Goal % 41.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 25.8 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 9.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 15.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 79.7%
Ball Control STJOE VILL
Rebounds 34.5 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.9
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.2
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 12.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STJOE VILL
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 66.8
% of Possessions with STJOE VILL
2 Point Attempt 33.5% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 42.7% 38.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 17.7%
Turnover 13.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STJOE VILL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 22.6%