NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV UCI
Points 68.8 80.2
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 48.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 15.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.5
Shooting UCRV UCI
Field Goals Made 23.9 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.5
Field Goal % 39.4% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 20.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 75.7%
Ball Control UCRV UCI
Rebounds 31.9 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.9
Turnovers 9.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.2
Steals 4.4 4.0
Fouls 16.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV UCI
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 69.3
% of Possessions with UCRV UCI
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 53.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 18.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.9%
Turnover 12.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV UCI
Shot Blocked 5.7% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 26.5%