NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT COR
Points 68.0 84.2
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.9
Shooting NJIT COR
Field Goals Made 23.2 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 57.7
Field Goal % 38.3% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 66.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.5
Free Throw % 72.1% 74.2%
Ball Control NJIT COR
Rebounds 33.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.6
Turnovers 10.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.5
Steals 6.2 6.6
Fouls 16.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT COR
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 70.9
% of Possessions with NJIT COR
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 33.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.2%
Turnover 14.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT COR
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 30.7%