NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT ARMY
Points 64.0 62.3
Total Points   126.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 10.2
Shooting NJIT ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.8 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 54.3
Field Goal % 38.8% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 17.0
Free Throw % 72.1% 60.0%
Ball Control NJIT ARMY
Rebounds 35.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.9
Turnovers 8.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.7
Steals 6.8 4.7
Fouls 14.8 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT ARMY
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 65.0
% of Possessions with NJIT ARMY
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.5%
Turnover 13.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT ARMY
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 27.7%