NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV WSU
Points 60.0 78.4
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 45.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 18.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.3
Shooting UCRV WSU
Field Goals Made 20.9 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 55.3
Field Goal % 35.1% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.2
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.0%
Ball Control UCRV WSU
Rebounds 29.8 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.8
Turnovers 8.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 0.9 5.0
Steals 4.3 3.5
Fouls 16.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV WSU
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.2
% of Possessions with UCRV WSU
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 21.4%
Player Fouled 20.4% 23.4%
Turnover 11.9% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV WSU
Shot Blocked 9.0% 1.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 29.4%