NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT STET
Points 69.3 77.2
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 24.8
Points From Free Throws 11.1 17.1
Shooting NJIT STET
Field Goals Made 25.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 55.1
Field Goal % 40.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 22.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 75.1%
Ball Control NJIT STET
Rebounds 35.2 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.2
Turnovers 7.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 5.5 4.4
Fouls 17.1 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT STET
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 69.0
% of Possessions with NJIT STET
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 25.0%
Turnover 11.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT STET
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 28.4%