NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT UCF
Points 57.9 79.1
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 22.3 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 19.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 20.3
Shooting NJIT UCF
Field Goals Made 18.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 56.0
Field Goal % 33.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 11.2 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 35.9% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 29.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 68.6%
Ball Control NJIT UCF
Rebounds 30.4 44.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.8
Turnovers 12.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.5
Steals 5.4 7.5
Fouls 18.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT UCF
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 74.6
% of Possessions with NJIT UCF
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 22.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 26.2%
Turnover 17.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT UCF
Shot Blocked 10.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 38.9%