NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT NORAL
Points 70.6 76.1
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 20.6
Points From Free Throws 17.4 18.9
Shooting NJIT NORAL
Field Goals Made 23.2 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.4 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 24.5
Free Throw % 72.1% 77.2%
Ball Control NJIT NORAL
Rebounds 34.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.5
Turnovers 8.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 4.9 4.3
Fouls 17.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT NORAL
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.1
% of Possessions with NJIT NORAL
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 23.8%
Player Fouled 22.1% 25.3%
Turnover 11.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT NORAL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 27.8%