NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD HAMP
Points 75.1 66.2
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.2 12.1
Shooting RAD HAMP
Field Goals Made 28.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 60.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 11.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 16.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.7%
Ball Control RAD HAMP
Rebounds 40.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.5
Turnovers 8.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.1
Steals 5.3 3.7
Fouls 13.7 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD HAMP
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 71.0
% of Possessions with RAD HAMP
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 29.5%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.9%
Turnover 12.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD HAMP
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 29.2%