NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT UMASS
Points 67.5 80.0
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 21.9
Shooting NJIT UMASS
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 54.8
Field Goal % 37.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 29.5
Free Throw % 72.1% 74.3%
Ball Control NJIT UMASS
Rebounds 33.8 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.1
Turnovers 9.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.1
Steals 7.7 5.4
Fouls 19.1 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT UMASS
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 72.7
% of Possessions with NJIT UMASS
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 19.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 26.1%
Turnover 12.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT UMASS
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 33.7%