NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV CSB
Points 69.0 70.2
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 13.7
Points From Free Throws 17.2 13.9
Shooting UCRV CSB
Field Goals Made 22.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.7
Field Goal % 40.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 19.1
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.0%
Ball Control UCRV CSB
Rebounds 33.1 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.1
Turnovers 9.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.7
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 15.4 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV CSB
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 67.0
% of Possessions with UCRV CSB
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 17.4%
Player Fouled 26.6% 22.5%
Turnover 13.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV CSB
Shot Blocked 6.8% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 28.5%