NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT
Points 66.0 63.8
Total Points   129.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 20.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.3
Shooting NJIT
Field Goals Made 23.1 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 55.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 39.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 20.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 68.9%
Ball Control NJIT
Rebounds 36.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.0
Turnovers 10.5 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.5
Steals 6.1 5.7
Fouls 16.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.8
% of Possessions with NJIT
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 23.6%
Turnover 15.3% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 32.0%