NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU FAU
Points 74.9 84.6
Total Points   159.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.0 17.8
Shooting WKU FAU
Field Goals Made 28.1 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 60.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 24.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 72.6%
Ball Control WKU FAU
Rebounds 35.6 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.7
Turnovers 11.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.8
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 17.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU FAU
Total Possessions 77.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 75.5
% of Possessions with WKU FAU
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 29.4%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.2%
Turnover 15.5% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU FAU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 27.7%