NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU UNI
Points 73.3 77.5
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 24.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 17.4
Shooting WKU UNI
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 56.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 24.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.8%
Ball Control WKU UNI
Rebounds 35.2 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.9
Turnovers 12.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 6.6 6.4
Fouls 18.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU UNI
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 70.9
% of Possessions with WKU UNI
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 28.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 24.2%
Turnover 16.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU UNI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 20.2%