NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU WKU
Points 73.8 82.1
Total Points   155.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 23.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.3
Shooting FIU WKU
Field Goals Made 26.3 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 59.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 41.8%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 21.0
Free Throw % 65.0% 72.7%
Ball Control FIU WKU
Rebounds 30.5 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.1
Turnovers 13.1 16.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.1
Steals 9.0 7.0
Fouls 15.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU WKU
Total Possessions 77.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 72.8
% of Possessions with FIU WKU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 20.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.5%
Turnover 16.8% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU WKU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 33.5%