NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU MEM
Points 77.3 84.7
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 27.3
Points From Free Throws 13.1 17.8
Shooting WKU MEM
Field Goals Made 27.9 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 61.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 24.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 72.7%
Ball Control WKU MEM
Rebounds 36.9 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.5
Turnovers 14.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.6
Steals 7.0 8.2
Fouls 17.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU MEM
Total Possessions 78.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 76.2
% of Possessions with WKU MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.5%
Turnover 18.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU MEM
Shot Blocked 9.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 29.1%