NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND WIS
Points 71.2 74.2
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 24.8
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.2
Shooting IND WIS
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 59.8
Field Goal % 51.4% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.2
Free Throw % 65.9% 75.1%
Ball Control IND WIS
Rebounds 32.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 10.4
Turnovers 11.2 7.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.7
Steals 3.7 7.2
Fouls 16.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND WIS
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 71.7
% of Possessions with IND WIS
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 29.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 23.1%
Turnover 16.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND WIS
Shot Blocked 2.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 28.2%