NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NEB
Points 71.8 74.9
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 31.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.4
Shooting IND NEB
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 61.2
Field Goal % 44.7% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 76.0%
Ball Control IND NEB
Rebounds 38.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.6
Turnovers 10.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.1
Steals 4.6 6.6
Fouls 13.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NEB
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 72.4
% of Possessions with IND NEB
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 36.4%
Player Fouled 20.1% 19.2%
Turnover 14.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NEB
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 24.9%