NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU TEX
Points 71.8 76.0
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 18.8
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.4
Shooting TCU TEX
Field Goals Made 25.1 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 56.8
Field Goal % 42.6% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 76.5%
Ball Control TCU TEX
Rebounds 35.2 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.2
Turnovers 11.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.5
Steals 7.0 6.1
Fouls 14.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU TEX
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 68.2
% of Possessions with TCU TEX
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.7%
Turnover 16.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU TEX
Shot Blocked 8.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 26.0%