NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU WVU
Points 82.0 71.8
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 15.6
Shooting TCU WVU
Field Goals Made 29.2 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 53.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.4%
Ball Control TCU WVU
Rebounds 37.1 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 7.4
Turnovers 9.9 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 9.0 4.1
Fouls 16.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU WVU
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 66.4
% of Possessions with TCU WVU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 19.3% 23.3%
Turnover 13.6% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU WVU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 23.1%