NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU NCCU
Points 70.0 72.4
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 12.9 24.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 16.1
Shooting DSU NCCU
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 53.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 23.3
Free Throw % 72.3% 69.0%
Ball Control DSU NCCU
Rebounds 36.1 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.3
Turnovers 11.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 1.9
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 16.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU NCCU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 68.9
% of Possessions with DSU NCCU
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.5%
Turnover 16.4% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU NCCU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 30.4%