NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU COPP
Points 67.4 57.8
Total Points   125.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 26.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 19.5
Points From Free Throws 17.3 11.6
Shooting DSU COPP
Field Goals Made 22.8 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 52.8
Field Goal % 42.6% 37.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 41.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 16.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 72.6%
Ball Control DSU COPP
Rebounds 39.7 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 9.3
Turnovers 14.6 16.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 9.8 7.1
Fouls 13.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU COPP
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 63.9
% of Possessions with DSU COPP
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.1% 18.9%
Turnover 20.7% 22.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 13.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU COPP
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 39.2% 26.1%