NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST EIU
Points 66.0 68.1
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 20.1
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.0
Shooting ALST EIU
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 58.1
Field Goal % 38.2% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.3
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.7%
Ball Control ALST EIU
Rebounds 38.0 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.8
Turnovers 10.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.2
Steals 6.2 5.5
Fouls 14.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST EIU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 69.9
% of Possessions with ALST EIU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 24.9%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.9%
Turnover 14.1% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST EIU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 26.2%