NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST GRAM
Points 62.0 67.8
Total Points   129.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 17.9
Points From Free Throws 12.2 17.2
Shooting ALST GRAM
Field Goals Made 21.7 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 51.8
Field Goal % 33.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.3% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 26.6% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 12.2 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 24.3
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.7%
Ball Control ALST GRAM
Rebounds 37.8 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.4 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.1
Steals 7.3 5.3
Fouls 15.8 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST GRAM
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 66.4
% of Possessions with ALST GRAM
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 19.9%
Player Fouled 18.0% 22.5%
Turnover 13.4% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST GRAM
Shot Blocked 8.1% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.9%