NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSUS CSF
Points 61.8 66.8
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 17.7
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.3
Shooting CSUS CSF
Field Goals Made 20.9 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 50.7
Field Goal % 40.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 20.1
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.1%
Ball Control CSUS CSF
Rebounds 34.7 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 6.8
Turnovers 13.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.1
Steals 4.6 6.9
Fouls 16.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSUS CSF
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 62.8
% of Possessions with CSUS CSF
2 Point Attempt 36.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 24.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.8%
Turnover 19.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSUS CSF
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 22.3%