NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSUS IDHO
Points 65.7 64.7
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 22.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 10.2
Shooting CSUS IDHO
Field Goals Made 22.5 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 52.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 13.7
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.3%
Ball Control CSUS IDHO
Rebounds 35.0 27.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 5.9
Turnovers 11.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 5.3 5.4
Fouls 13.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sac State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSUS IDHO
Total Possessions 64.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 60.5
% of Possessions with CSUS IDHO
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.2%
Turnover 18.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSUS IDHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 19.1%