NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSUS ARIZ
Points 58.0 87.9
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 49.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 20.8
Points From Free Throws 9.7 17.5
Shooting CSUS ARIZ
Field Goals Made 20.6 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.1
Field Goal % 36.7% 55.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 24.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 63.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 9.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 24.7
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.0%
Ball Control CSUS ARIZ
Rebounds 28.3 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.4
Turnovers 15.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 4.8 9.1
Fouls 17.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSUS ARIZ
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 72.3
% of Possessions with CSUS ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.7%
Turnover 21.4% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSUS ARIZ
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 35.1%