NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST COOK
Points 66.8 69.7
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 17.8
Points From Free Throws 16.9 18.9
Shooting ALST COOK
Field Goals Made 21.6 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.8
Field Goal % 35.6% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.9 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 25.0
Free Throw % 72.4% 75.9%
Ball Control ALST COOK
Rebounds 38.7 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.4
Turnovers 11.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.5
Steals 8.5 6.9
Fouls 17.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST COOK
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 70.0
% of Possessions with ALST COOK
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.2%
Turnover 15.2% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST COOK
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.3%