NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN DEP
Points 81.5 73.9
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.9 19.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.6
Shooting GTWN DEP
Field Goals Made 28.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 51.6
Field Goal % 47.6% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 21.2
Free Throw % 72.0% 73.8%
Ball Control GTWN DEP
Rebounds 34.0 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 6.6
Turnovers 9.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 6.0 5.5
Fouls 16.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN DEP
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 64.2
% of Possessions with GTWN DEP
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 23.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 23.7%
Turnover 13.3% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN DEP
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 22.9%