NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN MARQ
Points 68.6 88.4
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 27.6
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.0
Shooting GTWN MARQ
Field Goals Made 23.2 33.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 57.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 70.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.9
Free Throw % 72.0% 68.8%
Ball Control GTWN MARQ
Rebounds 32.7 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.1
Steals 4.6 8.4
Fouls 14.4 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN MARQ
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 69.3
% of Possessions with GTWN MARQ
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 30.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.5%
Turnover 18.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN MARQ
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 28.4%