NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH COLO
Points 79.5 83.4
Total Points   162.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.9 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.9
Shooting WASH COLO
Field Goals Made 30.0 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 60.1
Field Goal % 48.8% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 22.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 76.0%
Ball Control WASH COLO
Rebounds 30.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.8
Turnovers 9.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.2
Steals 5.9 5.6
Fouls 16.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH COLO
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 73.4
% of Possessions with WASH COLO
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 20.3%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.2%
Turnover 12.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH COLO
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 29.7%