NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH GONZ
Points 76.5 86.5
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 19.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 14.5
Shooting WASH GONZ
Field Goals Made 27.8 32.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 64.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 19.6
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.6%
Ball Control WASH GONZ
Rebounds 32.9 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.3
Turnovers 9.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.8
Steals 4.4 5.8
Fouls 14.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH GONZ
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 76.7
% of Possessions with WASH GONZ
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 53.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 21.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.9%
Turnover 13.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH GONZ
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 32.3%