NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE DREX
Points 67.1 70.4
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 20.7
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.9
Shooting NE DREX
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.7
Field Goal % 44.7% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 16.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.0%
Ball Control NE DREX
Rebounds 31.7 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.3
Turnovers 8.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.2
Steals 5.0 4.6
Fouls 13.8 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Northeastrn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE DREX
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 65.8
% of Possessions with NE DREX
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.9%
Turnover 13.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE DREX
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.6%