NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH ORE
Points 77.7 79.9
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.5
Shooting WASH ORE
Field Goals Made 27.8 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 62.5
Field Goal % 47.1% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.3
Free Throw % 71.5% 72.9%
Ball Control WASH ORE
Rebounds 34.5 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.3
Turnovers 11.0 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.8
Steals 4.6 6.5
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH ORE
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 75.2
% of Possessions with WASH ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.1%
Turnover 14.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH ORE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 27.9%