NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN GTWN
Points 90.2 59.7
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 48.2 26.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 18.5
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.7
Shooting CONN GTWN
Field Goals Made 32.5 19.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.0
Field Goal % 57.9% 34.1%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 71.9% 36.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 20.4
Free Throw % 75.1% 72.0%
Ball Control CONN GTWN
Rebounds 39.6 27.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 16.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.7
Turnovers 7.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 5.8 2.3
Steals 6.1 4.0
Fouls 14.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN GTWN
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.6
% of Possessions with CONN GTWN
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.9%
Turnover 11.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN GTWN
Shot Blocked 4.2% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.6% 26.8%