NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU RICE
Points 64.4 68.0
Total Points   132.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.4
Shooting HCU RICE
Field Goals Made 22.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 52.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 22.7
Free Throw % 66.9% 68.0%
Ball Control HCU RICE
Rebounds 31.4 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.6
Turnovers 8.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 6.4 4.8
Fouls 14.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hou Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU RICE
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 66.8
% of Possessions with HCU RICE
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 22.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.1%
Turnover 12.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU RICE
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 31.6%