NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU RICE
Points 66.4 73.1
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.7
Shooting HCU RICE
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 57.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 18.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 67.3%
Ball Control HCU RICE
Rebounds 31.4 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.1
Turnovers 9.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.2
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 14.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hou Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU RICE
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 69.8
% of Possessions with HCU RICE
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 29.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.8%
Turnover 14.3% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU RICE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 37.3%