NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU EIU
Points 73.2 68.2
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 18.5
Points From Free Throws 16.4 13.9
Shooting NIU EIU
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 62.4
Field Goal % 48.5% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 40.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 18.8
Free Throw % 67.4% 73.7%
Ball Control NIU EIU
Rebounds 37.9 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.9
Turnovers 12.5 8.2
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.6
Steals 3.6 7.3
Fouls 13.1 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU EIU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 73.0
% of Possessions with NIU EIU
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 53.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 21.7%
Player Fouled 27.2% 18.7%
Turnover 17.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU EIU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 26.9%