NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE BU
Points 68.2 64.0
Total Points   132.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.7
Shooting NE BU
Field Goals Made 24.0 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 54.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 14.9
Free Throw % 73.5% 72.2%
Ball Control NE BU
Rebounds 33.8 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.9
Turnovers 10.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 6.2 6.0
Fouls 13.1 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE BU
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 63.4
% of Possessions with NE BU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 29.9%
Player Fouled 22.3% 19.8%
Turnover 16.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE BU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 23.2%