NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE PRIN
Points 67.8 75.8
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 32.4
Points From Free Throws 9.6 12.4
Shooting NE PRIN
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 54.8
Field Goal % 48.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 26.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 9.6 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 15.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 78.3%
Ball Control NE PRIN
Rebounds 32.3 27.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 5.8
Turnovers 10.8 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.0
Steals 4.2 5.5
Fouls 14.8 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE PRIN
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.7 63.9
% of Possessions with NE PRIN
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 38.5%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.5%
Turnover 16.4% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE PRIN
Shot Blocked 1.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 19.0%